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Zohran Mamdani’s NYC election rivals have little chance — even if they team up — stunning new poll finds

Last updated: July 30, 2025 12:50 am
Oliver James
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Zohran Mamdani’s NYC election rivals have little chance — even if they team up — stunning new poll finds
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The scandal-scarred independents running for New York City mayor stand little chance against frontrunner Zohran Mamdani — even if the rivals team up against the socialist candidate, a shocking new poll found.

Mamdani, a Queens assemblyman and Democratic nominee, is projected to handily win the November general election with 50% of likely voters in the latest survey, released Tuesday by Zenith Research/Public Progress Solutions.

Ex-Gov. Andrew Cuomo, who has decided to continue his comeback tour after his embarrassing June primary loss to 33-year-old Mamdani, came in a distant second at 22%, while the GOP nominee Curtis Sliwa pulled 13%.

A new poll found that Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani has the support of 50% of likely voters. Luiz C. Ribeiro for New York PostA new poll found that Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani has the support of 50% of likely voters. Luiz C. Ribeiro for New York Post
A new poll found that Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani has the support of 50% of likely voters. Luiz C. Ribeiro for New York Post
Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo finished in a distant second with 22% in the poll from Zenith Research/Public Progress Solutions. J.C. RiceFormer Gov. Andrew Cuomo finished in a distant second with 22% in the poll from Zenith Research/Public Progress Solutions. J.C. Rice
Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo finished in a distant second with 22% in the poll from Zenith Research/Public Progress Solutions. J.C. Rice

Mayor Eric Adams, who bailed on the Democratic party line after his historic corruption case took months for the Trump administration to kill, failed to muster more than 7% of support.

The poll found that even if Adams or Cuomo had their shot at facing off against the DSA lawmaker one on one, neither would come close to knocking off the current frontrunner.

Cuomo came the closest but still only received 40% to Mamdani’s 55% in a scenario where the other candidates dropped out, according to the poll of 1,000 likely voters.

If Adams squared off solely against Mamdani, the survey had the socialist easily winning 59%-32%.

The poll projected that Mamdani would still win the election even if Mayor Adams drops out and gives support to Cuomo. J.C. RiceThe poll projected that Mamdani would still win the election even if Mayor Adams drops out and gives support to Cuomo. J.C. Rice
The poll projected that Mamdani would still win the election even if Mayor Adams drops out and gives support to Cuomo. J.C. Rice

The nagging issue for Adams and Cuomo, who both have been trying to rebrand themselves with the public, is the strong negatives dogging each campaign with strong name recognition.

About 60% of likely voters said they would never consider voting for Cuomo, while 68% of those polled said Adams will never be their choice come November.

If Cuomo or Adams were to abandon their independent campaigns, neither mayoral foe came close to Mamdani, the poll found.

Republican mayoral candidate Curtis Sliwa finished in third in the poll with 13%. Michael NagleRepublican mayoral candidate Curtis Sliwa finished in third in the poll with 13%. Michael Nagle
Republican mayoral candidate Curtis Sliwa finished in third in the poll with 13%. Michael Nagle

If Cuomo drops his bid, the survey has Mamdani winning with 55%, Sliwa in second at 16% and Adams in third at 14%.

And Mamdani would win with 51% if Adams drops from the race, with Cuomo only netting 25% in the scenario and Sliwa receiving 15% according to the poll.

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