The 2025 U.S. Open is no cakewalk and can be quite challenging to make it past the cut line and play into the weekend.
Just around 40% of the 156-person field will tee off in the third round as the U.S. Open has one of the tougher cut lines to make than the other majors; only the top 60 players and ties will advance after 36 holes – the end of the second round.
The third major of the year takes place at Oakmont Country Club near Pittsburgh, and the 7,372-yard, par-70 course doesn’t give out many freebies. Birdies are hard to come by, so mistake-free golf will likely be required to advance to the third and final rounds.
First-round action is still underway with the second round on June 13, meaning there’s plenty of time for golfers to improve or worsen their outlook. Here’s what to know about the possible cut line at Oakmont.
US OPEN LEADERBOARD: Scores, highlights from first round
US Open projected cut line
As of 6 p.m. ET on June 12, the projected cut line for the 2025 U.S. Open is +7, according to the predictive model used by Datagolf.com. The site notes there is a 36.3% chance the cut line is 7-over-par. Of course, the cut line could shift. Datagolf.com gives a 35.4% chance the cut line is +6, and a 12.7% chance it goes to +5.
While it seems high, the projected cut line is on par with what it’s been at the course before. Oakmont last hosted the U.S. Open in 2016, and the cut line was +6. In 2007, the cut line was a dramatic 10+.
Here is the recent history of what the cut line has been at the U.S. Open
2024: +5 (Pinehurst No. 2 in Pinehurst, North Carolina)
2023: +2 (Los Angeles Country Club in Los Angeles)
2022: +3 (The Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts)
2021: +4 (Torrey Pines Golf Course in San Diego)
2020: +6 (Winged Foot Golf Course in Mamaroneck, New York)
2019: +2 (Pebble Peach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California)
2018: +8 (Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Shinnecock Hills, New York)
2017: +1 (Erin Hills in Erin, Wisconsin)
2016: +6 (Oakmont Country Club in Oakmont, Pennsylvania)
US Open 2025 cut line: Golfers to watch
Scores as of 6 p.m. ET on June 12
Hideki Matsuyama: +4
Rory McIlroy: +4
Wyndham Clark: +4
Phil Mickelson: +4
Dustin Johnson: +4
Cameron Smith: +5
Sepp Straka: +5
Jason Day: +5
Patrick Cantlay: +6
Justin Thomas: +6
Tony Finau: +6
Justin Rose: +7
Mason Howell: +7
Shane Lowry: +9
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This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: US Open projected cut 2025: Current cut line, scores, golfers to watch
