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Vance a ‘shoo-in’ to win 2028 presidential election: oddsmakers

Last updated: July 19, 2025 6:33 pm
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Vance a ‘shoo-in’ to win 2028 presidential election: oddsmakers
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They think Vance has a chance.

Odds for the 2028 presidential election were revealed by Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market — and bettors are putting their money on the veep becoming the victor.

JD Vance has a 27% chance of becoming the country’s next commander in chief, according to the cryptocurrency-based prediction market.

JD Vance leads as the winner in the 2028 presidential election according to new odds released by Polymarket. Ron Sachs/CNP / SplashNews.com
JD Vance leads as the winner in the 2028 presidential election according to new odds released by Polymarket. Ron Sachs/CNP / SplashNews.com

Vance, 40, has already spoken about a possible 2028 run.

“When we get to that point, I’ll talk to the president, we’ll figure out what we want to do. But the way that I think about it is, if we do a good job, the politics take care of themselves,” he said on “Fox & Friends” in April.

California Governor Gavin Newsom is currently in second place. ZUMAPRESS.com / MEGA
California Governor Gavin Newsom is currently in second place. ZUMAPRESS.com / MEGA

In a distant second place was California Gov. Gavin Newsom — who told the Wall Street Journal last month “I’m not thinking about running, but it’s a path that I could see unfold” — with 14%.

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was third, with 10%, followed by former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg at 8%, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 6%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the third spot. LP Media
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the third spot. LP Media

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, a front-runner to be Kamala Harris’ running mate in 2024, was sixth with 5%

Harris and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis tied for seventh with 4%

Although he technically cannot run for a third term, President Trump came in eighth place with 3%.

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