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Malik Willis Free-Agent Sweepstakes: Why Miami and Arizona Lead the 2026 QB Chase

Last updated: March 2, 2026 6:39 pm
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Malik Willis Free-Agent Sweepstakes: Why Miami and Arizona Lead the 2026 QB Chase
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Malik Willis has attempted only 114 NFL passes, yet his 6-0 TD-to-INT ratio and 78.7% completion rate in emergency starts with Green Bay have quarterback-needy teams plotting full-scale cap-clearing moves to sign him when free agency opens.

From Third-Round Afterthought to Hottest QB on the Market

Two years ago Willis was a Titans third-round flyer with spotty footwork and zero starts. Twelve quarters of relief ball in Green Bay flipped the narrative. Operating Matt LaFleur’s motion-heavy scheme, he averaged 8.1 yards per attempt and posted a 116.9 passer rating—numbers that would have ranked top-five had they come over a full season.

Scouts who once questioned his processing now see a 26-year-old with a live arm, plus-plus mobility (6.2 yards per scramble) and, crucially, zero ceiling-killing interceptions on tape. In a 2026 quarterback class universally panned by general managers, Willis is the only potential Week 1 starter not requiring draft capital.

The Four Franchures Drawing the Clearest Lines to Willis

Miami Dolphins

  • Current QB: Tua Tagovailoa (benched final three games of 2025)
  • 2026 cap space: $900,000 OverTheCap.com
  • Logical tie: New HC/GM duo (Jeff Hafley/Jon-Eric Sullivan) overlapped with Willis in Green Bay

Miami can clear $11.1 million by releasing Tagovailoa but must still restructure contracts for Tyreek Hill and Jaelan Phillips to fit even a mid-tier quarterback offer. The appeal: Willis’s scrambling threat resurrects the play-action terraform offense that made the Dolphins a top-five scoring unit in 2024 before Tua’s injuries mounted.

Arizona Cardinals

  • Current QB: Kyler Murray (expected to be cut or traded)
  • 2026 cap space: $31.7 million OverTheCap.com
  • Logical tie: OC Mike LaFleur ran the same system Matt LaFleur used to develop Willis

With enough room to win a bidding war without a single restructure, Arizona can offer Willis a two-year, $28 million prove-it deal and still fund upgrades around him. The Cardinals also own pick Nos. 16 and 47, allowing them to build the rest of the roster instead of forcing a reach on a quarterback.

Cleveland Browns

  • Current QB: Deshaun Watson (2026 cap hit $80.7 million)
  • 2026 cap space: $900,000
  • Logical tie: New head coach Todd Monken seeded Lamar Jackson’s 2019 MVP season with concepts Willis already ran in Green Bay

Cleveland’s fascination is real—Cleveland.com’s Mary Kay Cabot placed Willis on the Browns’ radar weeks ago—but the cap math is brutal. Watson’s dead-money monster likely pushes any pursuit to 2027 unless the Browns convince Willis to sign a one-year, $4 million pillow contract and compete with DTR behind a bridge starter.

New York Jets

  • Current QB: Vacant (Aaron Rodgers retired)
  • 2026 draft capital: Picks 5, 37, 69, plus three 2027 first-rounders
  • Logical tie: HC Aaron Glenn bet on Justin Fields last offseason; Willis offers similar rushing juice with better recent accuracy

New York is armed with picks to weaponize the rest of the roster if they land Willis on a mid-level deal. The downside: MetLife’s December wind and a franchise history of crushing quarterback optimism. Still, Willis’s 78.7% completion sample suggests he can survive quick-game calls should weather turn games into slop fests.

Market Mechanics: Why the Numbers Favor Arizona

Spotrac projects Willis’s next contract at two years, $25 million with $16 million fully guaranteed—essentially the Geno Smith special. Only four teams enter March with $20 million-plus in cap room and an unsettled starter: Arizona, Atlanta, Las Vegas and Tampa Bay. Of that group, only the Cardinals employ a coach fluent in LaFleur language and carry zero incumbent ego to appease.

Miami and Cleveland must wait until June 1 cuts or convert massive base salaries into void years, giving Arizona a five-week head start to lock Willis before visits even begin.

What the Film Says About Projectability

  1. Pocket poise: 42% of Willis’s drop-backs included interior pressure; he still produced a 93.8 clean-pocket rating, per USA TODAY Sports data.
  2. Intermediate accuracy: 10-of-12 on throws 10-19 yards outside the numbers, hinting at anticipatory growth.
  3. Design-run threat: 3 rushing TDs on zone-read keeps forced Green Bay to add a satellite-tag wrinkle opponents never solved.

Skeptics note the microscopic sample, but scouts counter that Willis’s 2025 tape finally matches the first-round physical profile that once had him in the 2022 conversation.

Bottom Line

The Cardinals possess the cap room, offensive continuity and front-office urgency to deliver Willis the clearest runway to a 2026 starting job. Miami’s coaching ties keep them firmly in the mix if creative accounting prevails, while Cleveland and New York are wild cards whose interest will intensify if Arizona hesitates. Expect a two-year, $27 million agreement with $18 million guaranteed to be inked before the official start of free agency—because patience is the one luxury quarterback-needy franchises can’t afford this spring.

Stay locked on onlytrustedinfo.com for the fastest, most authoritative breakdown of every seismic NFL move—our analysis hits before the headlines finish loading.

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