Before Game 7 of this year’s NBA Finals tipped off, the NBA world was stunned by a Kevin Durant blockbuster deal, sending him to the Houston Rockets for Jalen Green, Dillon Brooks, the No. 10 pick in next week’s 2025 NBA draft and five second-round picks.
It also sent a shockwave through the odds board at sportsbooks, as the Rockets moved from the 12-1 range to around +750 to win the 2025-26 NBA championship. Those are the consensus second-best odds behind the Oklahoma City Thunder, who are well ahead of any other team at +230.
“Good trade for Phoenix, adding Jalen Green and the 10th pick is the right direction,” Jeff Sherman, vice president of risk at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook told Yahoo Sports via text message. “We lowered Houston from 12-1 to +900 just based on perception. They should be in the mix no doubt, I just like the return for Phoenix better than what the Rockets got in a 37-year-old they have to extend.”
The New York Knicks (+900), Indiana Pacers (+950) and Cleveland Cavaliers (11-1) had the next-best consensus title odds at sportsbooks.
“Having someone who can score in the half court was exactly what Houston was lacking all season, and it cost them dearly in the playoffs,” Thomas Gable, sportsbook director at The Borgata in Atlantic City (a BetMGM book) told Yahoo Sports via text. “While this will be Durant’s 18th season, he can still generate offense in the half court, even if he doesn’t get to the basket as much as he used to. He should help a very young Rockets team, even if it’s only a short stint.”
Sherman and other oddsmakers did have Houston as the second-best team in the West in their power ratings, but cautioned the ranking was simply as of today’s trade, noting, for example, if San Antonio traded for Giannis Antetokounmpo that could vault them to No. 2.
“We slightly lowered the Rockets’ title odds,” Jeff Benson, director of sportsbook operations at Circa Sports said via direct message on X. “They upgraded and didn’t give up a ton, especially the good young guys.”
The +750 odds are the best for the Rockets since the 2019 season, per Sports Odds History, when Houston was +700.
