Nearly two-thirds of Americans say they think a recession is coming, according to a new survey from LendingTree.
In the survey, conducted in April, 47 percent of respondents say they think a recession is coming in the next six months, while 15 percent say they think a recession is coming “but not in the next 6 months.”
Approximately 14 percent say they do not think a recession is coming, while nearly 24 percent say they are not sure.
There is a partisan split in responses — though a majority of all political persuasions expect a recession eventually.
Among Democrats, 77 percent expect a recession, including 62 percent who expect one in the next six months and 15 percent who expect one but not in the next six months.
Among Republicans, 53 percent expect a recession, including 37 percent in the next six months and 16 percent who expect a longer lag time.
Sixty percent of independents expect a recession, including 46 percent in the next six months.
Those who do not expect a recession include 22 percent of Republicans, 7 percent of Democrats and 13 percent of independents.
The poll comes as economists increasingly sound the alarm over a recession, citing tariff uncertainty caused by President Trump and the volatility of the stock and bond markets.
The survey included 2,006 U.S. consumers ages 18 to 79 from April 8 to 14, 2025.
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