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Cornyn losing to primary rival in poll from top GOP super PAC

Last updated: May 11, 2025 8:00 pm
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Cornyn losing to primary rival in poll from top GOP super PAC
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Texas Sen. John Cornyn (R) is significantly trailing state Attorney General Ken Paxton in an internal GOP primary poll conducted by a super PAC supporting the incumbent, pointing to a potentially challenging reelection bid.

The longtime senior senator is behind Paxton in the poll by 16 points, 56 percent to 40 percent, Punchbowl News reported Monday. If Rep. Wesley Hunt (R-Texas), who is considering his own run, joins the field, then Paxton leads 44 percent to Cornyn’s 34 percent and Hunt’s 19 percent.

The poll was commissioned by the Senate Leadership Fund (SLF), which works to protect incumbent Republican senators and grow the GOP’s numbers in the chamber.

Cornyn appears to be facing his biggest challenge in a Senate primary yet with the run from Paxton, as other early internal polls have shown him behind. But this one is notable, coming from a group backing Cornyn.

The developing primary race between Cornyn and Paxton is representative of a wider split within the Texas GOP between establishment figures like Cornyn and hard-liners who argue they are the true conservatives and loyalists to President Trump’s agenda.

Paxton has branded Cornyn a RINO, or Republican in name only, and insufficiently supportive of Trump, while Cornyn has slammed Paxton’s legal difficulties and other political controversies. In response to those attacks, Cornyn has touted his voting record being almost perfectly in line with Trump.

“Senator Cornyn has a 99% voting record with Trump as President and continues to be his close legislative ally,” Cornyn campaign senior adviser Matt Mackowiak said in response to the poll’s results. “In ten months, when Texas GOP primary voters completely understand the record of both candidates, we are confident we will win.”

The results also showed hypothetical match-ups in the general election between each Republican and Texas Democrat Colin Allred, the former House member who lost the Senate race in November to Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and is considering another run.

Cornyn performed the best in that survey, leading Allred by 6 points, while Hunt led by 4 and Paxton trailed by 1.

“The numbers don’t lie — John Cornyn is in a far better early position than Ken Paxton,” SLF communications director Chris Gustafson said in a statement. “Texans only need one quick look at Paxton’s record before his support plummets, and it’s clear he would risk delivering the Senate majority to Chuck Schumer.”

Punchbowl also noted that Trump’s approval rating in the poll was only 2 points above water in the state, suggesting a more moderate sample of voters.

The poll was conducted from April 27 to May 1.

Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

For the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to The Hill.

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