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World could soon hit 1.5 degree threshold

Last updated: June 19, 2025 8:32 pm
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World could soon hit 1.5 degree threshold
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The Big Story 

The world may be on track to breach 1.5 degrees Celsius of global warming in about three years, a group of scientists warned in a new paper.

© Matt York, Associated press file

Researchers have called for keeping the planet’s warming to less than 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) to avoid the worst impacts of climate change.

 

An update on the state of global warming published this week says that if 2024 levels of planet-warming emissions continue, there’s a 50 percent chance the world will warm to 1.5 degrees in a little more than three years.

 

Researchers note this estimate is “not expected to correspond exactly to the time that 1.5 °C global warming level is reached” due to a few uncertainties. 

 

However, the finding paints a stark picture to how close the world is to passing that threshold. 

 

The 1.5 degree figure is partly symbolic — the difference between 1.49 degrees and 1.51 degrees, for example, is not expected to necessarily be the difference between survival and doom. 

 

However, there are certain “tipping points” after which climate damage becomes irreversible — like the melting of the Greenland ice sheet or the collapse of ocean current systems. 

 

The paper says that currently, the world is estimated to have warmed 1.36 degrees Celsius (2.45 degrees Fahrenheit) and is currently warming at a rate of about 0.27 degrees Celsius (0.49 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade. 

 

Read more at TheHill.com.

Welcome to The Hill’s Energy & Environment newsletter, I’m Rachel Frazin — keeping you up to speed on the policies impacting everything from oil and gas to new supply chains.

 

Programming note: I’m off tomorrow so there will be no newsletter. I’ll be back on Monday.

Did someone forward you this newsletter? Subscribe here.

Essential Reads 

How policy will affect the energy and environment sectors now and in the future:

Plastic bag bans are helping clean up US coastlines: Study

Policies that have banned or imposed fees on plastic bags are leading to significant declines in plastic litter along U.S. shorelines, a new study has found.

 Full Story

Misleading information on climate science delaying action: Report

Misleading information about the nature of climate change is further complicating and delaying action to fight the environmental issue, according to a new research report.

 Full Story

What We’re Reading 

News we’ve flagged from other outlets touching on energy issues, the environment and other topics:

  • EPA science revamp calls for ‘much smaller’ office (E&E News)

  • A heat dome is about to bring extreme heat and humidity to more than 200 million (The Washington Post)

What Others are Reading 

Two key stories on The Hill right now:

Senate GOP leader faces pushback after members blindsided by Trump bill

Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) is facing strong pushback from members of the GOP conference over the Finance Committee’s piece of President Trump’s tax and spending bill, which largely ignores GOP senators’ concerns about Medicaid cuts and the quick phaseout of clean-energy tax credits. Read more

Michelle Obama on being ‘glad’ she didn’t have a son: ‘He would’ve been a Barack Obama’

Michelle Obama says she’s “so glad” she never had a son — because he would’ve been a kiddie clone of her husband.  Read more

You’re all caught up. See you Monday! 

Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

For the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to The Hill.

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